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Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Reserve Bank of Australia: Potential inflation is still too high. There is still uncertainty about the prospects. The Committee is increasingly convinced that inflationary pressure is decreasing with the recent forecast, but the risk still exists. The Committee will continue to rely on data and changing risk assessments to guide its decision-making. Although the potential inflation is still at a high level, other recent economic activity data are mixed, but overall, November data is weaker than expected.AliExpress has held nearly 100 investment promotion meetings in Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu and other places. AliExpress has prepared a number of measures such as traffic and freight reduction for new merchants, and held nearly 100 investment promotion meetings in Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shandong and other places in a month, attracting merchants from factories and industries to join. In addition, this year's "Black Five" is not over yet. Before double 11, the trend of "anti-involution" of e-commerce spread to cross-border circles, and AliExpress launched a series of policies to actively intercept and control the "refund only" and wool party that troubled businesses. (Interface News)

Australia's S&P/ASX200 index has narrowed its decline and is now down 0.3%.Chaojie Co., Ltd.: In the field of humanoid robots, there are small batches of samples made of metal materials. Chaojie Co., Ltd. responded to investors' questions on the interactive platform, saying that the company already has PEEK auto parts for customers. At present, in the field of humanoid robots, the company has supplied customers with small batches of metal samples. Because humanoid robots have not yet reached the stage of industrial scale, they have not yet obtained batch orders. At present, this business accounts for a relatively low proportion of the company's revenue, which has not had a significant impact on the company's performance.OpenAI has made a big profit, and institutions have increased their positions in four high-growth potential stocks. According to data treasure, on December 10th, OpenAI officially opened the artificial intelligence video generation model Sora to users, and it has been 10 months since the first public preview of the product. At the same time, the company announced the launch of a new version of Sora, Sora Turbo, saying that it is significantly faster than the version previewed in February. In early trading today, AIGC concept stocks broke out, and Shensi Electronics and Worth Buying all recorded a 20cm daily limit. According to data treasure statistics, as of December 9, there were nearly 200 concept stocks involving AIGC, and the total market value of A shares was close to 3 trillion yuan. Since the beginning of this year, the cumulative increase of 12 concept stocks has doubled, including Doushen Education, PricewaterhouseCoopers, An Shuo Information, Fushi Holdings and Bestak. The cumulative increase of Doushen Education was 279.64%, ranking first. At the same time, according to the unanimous prediction of more than five institutions, there are 11 AIGC concept stocks whose net profit growth rate is expected to exceed 20% from 2024 to 2026.

Reserve Bank of Australia: Potential inflation is still too high. There is still uncertainty about the prospects. The Committee is increasingly convinced that inflationary pressure is decreasing with the recent forecast, but the risk still exists. The Committee will continue to rely on data and changing risk assessments to guide its decision-making. Although the potential inflation is still at a high level, other recent economic activity data are mixed, but overall, November data is weaker than expected.Minister of Malaysia: ZTE will invest 200 million ringgit in Malaysia.Research Report: In the third quarter, the installed capacity of traction inverters for electric vehicles in China accounted for 61% of the world. According to the latest research of TrendForce Jibang Consulting, the total installed capacity of traction inverters for electric vehicles in the third quarter of 2024 reached 6.87 million, which was 7% higher than that in the same period last year, but the growth rate has been reduced. In the competition pattern of first-class suppliers, BYD benefited from the hot sales of its models. In the third quarter, the installed market share of traction inverter increased by 1% to 18%, surpassing Denso of Japanese factory for the first time and becoming the company with the highest market share. The market share of Huichuan Technology has also increased to 6%, which shows that the competitiveness of China manufacturers in this field continues to increase. Generally speaking, China manufacturers, Japanese manufacturers and Tesla together account for half of the global installed capacity, while the influence of European and American manufacturers is gradually weakening. TrendForce Jibang Consulting indicated that the regional differentiation of traction inverters is becoming more and more obvious, with the installed capacity in China accounting for 61% of the global total. Under the pressure of shrinking market, Europe is actively reforming and cutting expenditure to enhance the competitiveness of the electric vehicle industry chain. In the short term, the stable demand in China market will continue to support the growth of traction inverter market. In the long run, if the European automobile industry chain can be successfully reformed, it will help boost the overall performance of the global traction inverter and electric vehicle market.